Measured FHFA data · through 2025
Home appreciation in Tucson, AZ
Home prices in the Tucson, AZ area rose +9.8% a year over the five years ending 2025, by the FHFA all-transactions index, against +9.7% a year for Arizona as a whole. The metro and its state moved almost together over that window.
The pace, three windows
1-year
+2.1%
2025 over 2024. Arizona: +1.9%.
5-year, per year
+9.8%
Compound annual pace, 2020 to 2025. Arizona: +9.7%.
10-year, per year
+8.1%
+118.9% in total since 2015. Arizona: +8.5%.
20 years against Arizona
Among the 409 metros with enough history to measure, that places Tucson, AZ 148th nationally and 5th of the 7 measured metros in Arizona. The last five years ran faster than the decade: +8.1% a year over ten years, +118.9% in total. Within the window shown, the index peaked in 2006, fell 36.3% to its 2012 low, and regained the 2006 level in 2020. The strongest single year in the window was 2022 at +20.6%, and the weakest was 2009 at -11.5%. In 2025 alone the index moved +2.1%, against +1.9% for the state.
Year by year
| 2005 | 100.0 | — | 100.0 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2006 | 116.2 | +16.2% | 118.6 |
| 2007 | 116.1 | -0.1% | 117.4 |
| 2008 | 104.9 | -9.7% | 101.2 |
| 2009 | 92.9 | -11.5% | 85.1 |
| 2010 | 83.9 | -9.6% | 74.6 |
| 2011 | 75.4 | -10.2% | 66.5 |
| 2012 | 74.0 | -1.8% | 69.3 |
| 2013 | 78.1 | +5.6% | 78.4 |
| 2014 | 82.7 | +5.8% | 85.5 |
| 2015 | 85.1 | +2.9% | 90.8 |
| 2016 | 89.5 | +5.1% | 96.9 |
| 2017 | 96.0 | +7.3% | 104.2 |
| 2018 | 102.0 | +6.3% | 112.4 |
| 2019 | 108.8 | +6.6% | 119.9 |
| 2020 | 116.7 | +7.3% | 129.7 |
| 2021 | 138.7 | +18.9% | 158.2 |
| 2022 | 167.3 | +20.6% | 191.4 |
| 2023 | 175.0 | +4.6% | 193.7 |
| 2024 | 182.4 | +4.2% | 202.3 |
| 2025 | 186.3 | +2.1% | 206.1 |
The 7 measured metros in Arizona
| # | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Flagstaff, AZ | +3.1% | +10.7% | +8.5% |
| 2 | Yuma, AZ | +2.1% | +10.1% | +7.4% |
| 3 | Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler, AZ | +1.5% | +9.8% | +8.8% |
| 4 | Sierra Vista-Douglas, AZ | +4.3% | +9.8% | +7.3% |
| 5 | Tucson, AZ | +2.1% | +9.8% | +8.1% |
| 6 | Prescott Valley-Prescott, AZ | +3.8% | +9.7% | +8.7% |
| 7 | Lake Havasu City-Kingman, AZ | +1.7% | +8.9% | +8.5% |
Source & method: Metro figures: FHFA quarterly all-transactions index for metropolitan statistical areas and metropolitan divisions, annualized as the mean of the four quarterly (NSA) values. State figures: FHFA quarterly all-transactions index, annualized as the mean of the four quarterly (NSA) values. “5-yr /yr” and “10-yr /yr” are compound annual growth over the window ending 2025; all figures are nominal. Data published by the FHFA House Price Index; this edition compiled 2026-09-07. Educational data, not investment advice.
See the Arizona row in the state rankings, the county rankings, and, for why one metro number hides so much, why two homes in the same ZIP code appreciate differently.
Frequently asked questions
How fast have home prices risen in Tucson, AZ?
+9.8% a year over the five years ending 2025, and +8.1% a year over ten, by the FHFA all-transactions index for the Tucson, AZ area. Over ten years that is +118.9% in total. These are measured, nominal changes, not forecasts.
Is Tucson, AZ appreciating faster than Arizona?
Over the five years ending 2025 the two moved almost together: +9.8% a year for the metro against +9.7% for the state.
Does a metro average tell me what a specific home in Tucson, AZ will do?
No. This page reports the measured index for the whole metro. Neighborhoods and individual homes inside it followed different paths, and a metro average conceals that spread. Use it for context, then evaluate the specific property within its own local market.
Averages end where the decision starts
These are area averages from measured history. Individual homes inside the same area follow meaningfully different paths. Good Investment ranks a specific property within its own market, with context and a confidence flag.